Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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考驗能否企穩十天線

Monday, June 17, 2019 Views2653
港股在上周一裂口上揚,恆指重越27000,周二最高升見27858,更一度升越250天線,可惜未能企穩250天線之上.之後反覆走低,周四最低見到26825,周五收報27118,相對前周仍上升了153點,升幅0.6%,是連續第二周上升.國指按周上升0.8%,終於結束了連續五周的跌勢.
 
A股上周亦止跌回升,上證綜指上周五收報2881,按周上升了1.9%;滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升2.5%和2.6%.上周公布的經濟數據顯示,帶動經濟增長的三頭馬車進一步放慢.外貿方面,5月份進出口總值僅增長2.9%.其中,出口增長7.7%,進口下降2.5%.製造活動方面,5月份規模以上工業增加值增長5%,增速比4月份回落0.4個百分點.固定資產投資方面,1-5月份增速為5.6%,比1-4月份回落0.5個百分點.其中,全國房地產開發投資增長11.2%,增速比1-4月份回落0.7個百分點.只有消費有所加快,5月份社會消費品零售總額同比增長8.6%,增速比4月份加快1.4個百分點.
 
美股上周亦上升,道指標普500和納指按周分別上升0.4%0.5%和0.7.美國5月份消費物價指數升幅低於預期,強化市場對聯儲局的減息預期,為美股帶來支持.不過,聯儲局會否一如預期在今月減息,本周將有分曉.
 
說回港股,恆指上周回升暫可視為超賣後的技術性反彈,而反彈受制於250天線阻力.本周料將考驗能否企穩10天線之上.該線現時處於27150水平,如守穩10天線,往上阻力位為27600,往下支持位26800.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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