Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
Phone:
2277 6666

完成整固再挑戰29000

Monday, July 8, 2019 Views2784
完成整固再挑戰29000
 
港股上周二在七.一假期後裂口高開,恆指高位逼近29000.周三略為回落,周四再上衝29000,最高見到29008,可惜未能企穩29000以上,周五收報28775,但對比前周仍上升了232點,升幅0.8%,是連續第五周上升.國指在上周二曾升越11000,最高見到11043,周五收報10895,按周微升0.1%.
 
A股方面,受到利好消息刺激,滬深股市在上周一跳空高開,並留下一個上升裂口.大市從周三開始調整,周四已經把周一的上升裂口補回.周五大市微漲,上證綜指周五收報3011,按周上升1.1%;深證成指收報9443,周升幅為2.9%.經濟數據方面,6月份財新中國製造業採購經理指數錄得49.4,低於5月0.8個百分點,四個月來首次跌破50榮枯分界線,顯示製造業景氣度明顯下降.6月份財新中國服務業採購經理指數雖然仍企50榮枯分界線以上,但相對5月份回落0.7個百分點至52,為今年3月以來最低.
 
美股方面,三大指數在上周三齊齊創出收市新高,是17個月來首見.但就業數據好於預期,令市場對聯儲局的減息預期下降,令美股在上周五獨立日假期後走勢回軟.經濟數據方面,美國6月份非農業職位增加22.4萬份,高於市場預期的17萬份.數據公布後,聯儲局今月減息半厘的概率由25%下降至5.9%,但減息四分一厘的概率仍維持100%.
 
說回港股,恆指未能企穩29000以上,周五回軟可視為後抽100天線及回補上周二的上升裂口.該上升裂口闊136點,介於28633和28769之間,目前已補回一部分,對後市走勢更為健康.恆指10天線本周將升回100天線以上,出現黃金交叉,只要守住28620,預期在完成整固後有望再挑戰29000並企穩其上.
 
本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.
 
This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
Top of Page
Contact Us
Please contact your account executive or call us now.
Research Department
Tel : (852) 2277 6846
Fax : (852) 2277 6565
Email : businessenquiry@phillip.com.hk

Enquiry & Support
Branches
The Complaint Procedures
About Us
Phillip Securities Group
Join Us
Phillip Network
Phillip Post
Phillip Channel
Latest Promotion
E-Check
Login
Investor Notes
Free Subscribe
Contact Us