Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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回補上升裂口一部分更為健康

Monday, December 16, 2019 Views3246
恆指自上周二起連升四日,上周五單日升幅接近700點,以全周最高位27688收市,相對前周上升了1190點,升幅達4.5%,是連續第二周上升.國指亦連升兩周,上周五收報10838,按周上升4.1%.上周五晚間,中美就第一階段經貿協議文本達成協議,事實上港股已偷步上揚.
 
A股方面,三大指數周升幅都超過1%.其中,深證成指重越一萬大關,上周五收報10004,按周上升1.3%;上證綜指亦逼近3000點,上周五收報2967,按周上升1.9%.經濟數據方面,11月份全國居民消費價格(CPI)同比上漲4.5%,漲幅比10月份擴大0.7個百分點,但環比僅上升0.4%,比10月份回落0.5個百分點.11月份全國工業生產者出廠價格(PPI)同比下降1.4%,降幅較10月份收窄0.2個百分點.隨著豬肉價格開始回落,CPI快速上行的動能將逐步減弱,宏觀經濟並不面臨顯著通脹風險.另一方面,中國人民銀行公布的數據顯示,新增貸款和社會融資規模均呈現回暖,其中,11月份人民幣貸款增加1.39萬億元,同比多增1387億元,並創出有統計數據以來的歷史同期新高.社會融資規模則增加1.75萬億元,同比多增1505億元.
 
美股三大指數當中,標準普爾500指數和納斯達克指數在上周五都創出收市新高,相對前周分別上升0.7%和0.9%;道指按周則上升0.4%.除了受惠中美達成第一階段經貿協議外,英國大選保守黨獲壓倒性勝利,加快脫歐進程,亦為美股帶來利好刺激.
 
說回港股,恆指連升四日,已補回11月11日的下跌裂口(該下跌裂口闊221點,介於27582和27361之間),並重越250天線,但同時日線圖出現了兩個上升裂口.由於升勢略嫌過急,本周可能作出後抽,回試250天線(27465)的支持,如能補回上周五的上升裂口的一部分,走勢將更為健康.該上升裂口闊356點,介於27049和27405之間.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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