Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
Phone:
2277 6666

升穿20天線有望挑戰23800

Monday, April 6, 2020 Views3244
美國新冠肺炎確診人數已突破30萬,而疫情對經濟的影響進一步體現,最新一周新申領失業救濟金人數再創新高,達到660萬人,而3月份非農職位減少70萬份,失業率從3.5%上升至4.4%,為美股帶來沽售壓力,道指納指和標準普爾500指數上周分別下跌2.7%2.1%和1.7%.
 
雖然美股仍大幅波動,但港股波幅卻有所收窄.恆指任周高低波幅只有872點,最高23628,見於上周二,最低22756,見於上周四.周五收報23236,相對前周下跌了248點,跌幅1.1%.波幅收窄的同時,成交亦見縮減,上周五大市成交縮減至800億元以下.國指上周高低波幅只有370點(9637-9267)周五收報9491,按周下跌0.15%.
 
 
A股上周表現分化,上證綜指收報2763,相對前周下跌了0.3%;滬深300和深證成指按周分別微升3點和1點.據國家統計局公布,3月份中國製造業採購經理指數為52,較2月份回升16.3點;非製造業商務活動指數為52.3,按月回升22.7點.3月份製造業和非製造業採購經理指數均重返擴張區間,為股市帶來支持.不過,國家統計局警示,並不能代表經濟運行已恢復正常水平,更多反映的是一半以上的調查企業復工復產情況比2月份有所改善.人民銀行上周重啟逆回購,在公開市場實現淨投放700億元,並於周一調降7天期逆回購利率20個基點.同時,人行又在上周五宣布,為支持實體經濟發展,加大對中小微企業支持力度,降低融資成本,決定對中小銀行定向降準1個百分點,於4月15日和5月15日兩次實施,每次下調0.5個百分點,共釋放4000億元資金.
 
說回港股,恆指上周四最低見到22756,補回3月25日的上升裂口的大部分,同時亦守住10天線之上.形態上,現時恆指似形成個上升旗形,而不斷下降的20天線將快與10天線匯聚.如恆指能守住22750,並升越20天線,仍有望向上,再挑戰23800阻力位.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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