Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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反彈浪料將持續

Monday, October 5, 2020 Views2497
上周評論指出,恆指在前周五最低見到23125,補回6月1日上升裂口的大部分,技術上已呈現超賣,或將作出技術性反彈.結果恆指上周止跌回升,周三最高見到23781,收報23459,相對前周五上升了224點,升幅接近1%,結束了連續四周的跌勢.3326,收報23430,上升168點,低水29點,成交128179張.國指上周三最高見到9536,收報9397,按周上升1%.
 
A股上周大致持平,上證綜指周三收報3218,按周微跌1點;滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升17點和93點.經濟數據方面,據國家統計局公布,9月份中國製造業採購經理指數(PMI)為51.5,比8月份上升0.5個百分點,反映製造業景氣有所回升.9月份非製造業商務活動指數為55.9,較8月份上升0.7個百分點,是自3月份以來持續位於50臨界點以上.
 
港股和A股休假期間,美國總統特朗普與夫人確診感染新冠肺炎的消息為美股投下震撼彈,道指在上周五一度急挫超過400點,最低見到27382,收市回升至27682,僅下跌134點,全周計數仍錄得1.9%升幅.至於納指和標準普爾500指數,周升幅同為1.5%.經濟數據方面,9月份美國非農職位增加66.1萬份,差於預期;失業率降至7.9%,是自疫情爆發以來的最低水平,但主要由於勞動人口減少約達70萬人所致.
 
說回港股,恆指在前周五低見23125後回升,目前展開反彈浪,上周五一度上試10天線.該線現時處於23700水平,若能升越10天線並企穩其上,料可繼續反彈,或可嘗試補回9月22日的下跌裂口,該下跌裂口闊19點,介於23928和23909之間.回落支持則看23250.
 
本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.
This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
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