Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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有望向50天和100天線推進

Monday, October 12, 2020 Views2511
上周評論指出港股正展開反彈浪,恆指若能升越10天線並企穩其上,料可嘗試補回9月22日的下跌裂口,該下跌裂口闊19點,介於23928和23909之間,結果恆指在上周一就成功收復10天線,並且補回上述下跌裂口.之後市況繼續上揚,恆指在上周五高見到24344,收報24119,相對前周上升了660點,升幅2.8%,是連續第二周上升.國指上周亦呈現先低後高走勢,周五收報9618,按周上升2.35%,也是連續第二周上升.
 
A股在長假期後高開高走,上證綜指上周五收報3272,按周上升1.7%;深證成指周升幅超過2%,而滬深300則升近3%.長假後首個交易日,人民幣兌美元匯率中間價報6.7796,較節前最後一個交易上調305個基點.同日,在岸和離岸人民幣妃美元匯率均創出2019年4月以來新高.近期公布的經濟數據均顯示中國經濟持續回暖,例如9月份財新中國通用服務業經營活動指數(服務業PMI)錄得54.8,較8月份上升0.8個百分點,並連續五個月處於擴張區間.國家統計局的9月份服務業商務活動指數亦上升0.9個百分點至55.2,帶動綜合PMI上升0.6個百分點至55.1.
 
美股方面,由於紓困方案談判一度陷入僵局,為市況帶來波動.其後談判重啟,令美股重納升軌.道指按周上升3.3%,是自8月7日以來最大單周升幅.標準普爾500指數和納指按周分別上升4.6%和3.8%,均為自7月以來最好表現.
 
說回港股,恆指上周成功收復10天和20天線,9天相對強弱指數亦重越50中軸.若企穩20天線之上(該線現時處於24000附近),本周料可上試24500,並有望升近50天和100天線,現時該兩條移動平均線都處於24600-24640區域.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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