Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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頭肩底量度上升目標26500

Monday, November 9, 2020 Views2690
雖然美國總統大選點票呈現膠著狀態,加上螞蟻集團暫緩上市的不利消息,但港股卻未受影響,恆指在上周五最高見到25800,是自8月31日以來的最高位,收報25713,相對前周上升1606點,升幅達6.7%.國指在上周五最高見到10514,是自7月22日以來的最高位,收報10498,周升幅達7.6%.
 
美股道指在上周一至周四連升四日,周五止升回跌,但全周仍升6.9%;納指和標準普爾500指數按周分別上升9%和7.3%,三大指數都錄得自今年4月以來最大單周升幅.除了因為拜登在點票中領先特朗普,令當選機會提升,上周公布的美國經濟數據也優於市場預期,例如10月份非農業職位增加63.8萬份,多於預期的50.3萬份,而失業率則由7.9%下降至6.9%.
 
A股上周升幅略遜美股和港股,上證綜指按周上升2.7%,滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升4%和4.5%.10月份財新中國製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)升至53.6,高於預期的53,並創出2011年2月以來最高水平.至於通用服務業經營活動指數(服務業PMI)則升至56.8,連續六個月處於擴張區間,顯示製造業和服務業雙雙持續回暖.
 
說回港股,恆指重越250天線,並升穿自9月初以來形成的頭肩底型態的頸線阻力,量度上升目標可見26500,有望接近7月高位26783.不過,上周升勢有點急速,恆指一周內出現了兩個上升裂口.本周料將在250天線(25413)水平整固,完成整固後再上試26000.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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