Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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出現第二個黃金交叉

Monday, November 23, 2020 Views3206
上周評論指出,恆指9天相對強弱指數仍維持70以,顯示上升動力仍未減弱,預期在完成短期整固後將再上試26500.恆指上周三最高見到26618,逼近今年7月高位26783,周五收報26456,相對前周上升了295點,升幅1.1%國指上周五收報10553,按周微升3點,也是連續第三周上升.
 
A股上周顯著回升,上證綜指上周五收報3377,按周上升2%;滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升1.8%和0.7%.上周公布的10月份經濟數據顯示,中國經濟持續穩定恢復.其中,10月份規模以上工業增加值同比增長6.9%,增速與9月份持平.1至10月份全國固定資產投資增長1.8%,增速比1至9月份提高1個百分點.1至10月份全國房地產開發投資增長6.3%,增速比1至9月份提高0.7個百分點.10月份社會消費零售總額增長4.3%,增速比9月份加快1個百分點.
 
美股上周呈現回調,道指和標準普爾500指數按周都下跌0.7%,但納指卻逆勢上升0.4%,反映有部分資金從舊經濟股回流新經濟股.美國疫情持續惡化,沖淡了市場對疫苗面世的良好預期.另一方面,美國勞工部公布數據顯示,截至11月14日的一周,首次申領失業救濟金人數為74.2萬人,相對前一周修正人數增加3.1萬人,並多於市場預期的70.7萬人.若疫情持續惡化,明年第一季度經濟增長恐會由正轉負.
 
說回港股,恆指上周最高見到26618,已達到26500的量度上升目標.技術上,繼10天線重越250天線呈現黃金交叉後,20天線在上周亦升越250天線,呈現第二個黃金交叉.恆指9天相對強弱指數(RSI)仍處70偏強水平,本周料有望挑戰26783高位,但樂觀之餘仍須留意恆指能否穩守10天線之上,該線現時處於26300水平.
 
本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.
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