Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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6月有望上試100天線

Monday, June 6, 2022 Views3103

上周預期恆指可挑戰50天線,若能突破該線,可望上試21200-21300.結果恆指在上周一成功升越50天線,周二最高見到21415,是自4月4日以來最高水平.周四恆指一度下破21000,最低見到20884,收報21082,相對前周仍上升了385點,升幅1.9%.國指按周上升2.6%,而科指周升幅更超過5%.


由於端午節假期,A股上周亦只得四個交易日,上證綜指,滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升2.1%,2.2%和3.9%.經濟數據方面,5月份官方製造業採購經理指數為49.6,較4月份上升2.2個百分點,接近今年第一季度製造業PMI平均值,顯示疫情的影響明顯減弱,加上一攬子穩經濟政策出台,為股市帶來支持.


美股上周維持波動市況,5月份非農業職位增加39萬份,為2021年4月以來最小增幅,但多於市場預期的32.5萬份,而失業率則保持在3.6%,接近疫情前低點.就業數據好於預期,加上有聯儲局官員支持繼續加息,以壓抑高通脹,為股市帶來沽壓.道指按周下跌0.94%,而納指和標準普爾500指數則分別下跌0.98%和1.2%.


說回港股,恆指在上周四一度下破21000,最低見到20884,但收市仍企21000以上.因此,可視為升破50天線後的後抽.同時,恆指上周還升越了5月3日高位21292,令5月份走勢扭轉為先低後高.未來只要守穩50天線,6月有望上試100天線,該線現時處於22100水平.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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