Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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短線上望22150

Monday, June 27, 2022 Views2866

上周港股走勢比預期好,恆指守住50天線,之後逐步回升,周五最高見到21763,收報21719,相對前周上升了644點,升幅3.1%.國指和科指按周分別上升3.5%和4.1%.A股連升兩周,主要受惠經濟預期改善以及流動性寬鬆,上證綜指按周升近1%,滬深300和深證成指周升幅分別達到2%和2.9%.國務院總理李克強上周主持召開國務院常務會議,確定加大汽車消費支持的政策,加上新一輪家電下鄉有望加快推進,為股市帶來支持.

美股上周亦止跌回穩,道指按周上升5.4%,標準普爾500和納指周升幅分別達到6.4%和7.5%.聯儲局主席鮑威爾在國會上作證時重申將致力抗擊通脹,但加息抗通脹的舉措可能導致經濟衰退.他的承諾反而給予市場一定信心,為美股締造反彈條件.不過,標普500指數和納指已確認進入為熊市,而美國經濟在未來12個月發生衰退的概率亦升近五成,所以對於美股上周的回升,暫宜視為技術性反彈或熊市反彈.

說回港股,恆指上周大部分時間在10天和20天線之間爭持,周五終於成功突破10天和20天線阻力,並升近100天線.今月初,恆指曾上試100天線(當時100天線位於22060附近),最高見到22143.現時100天線已下降至21720附近,要升越和企穩100天線之上變得較為容易.不過,恆指9天相對強弱指數(RSI)現時僅為59,顯示上升動力並非太強大,短線上望22150.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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