Market Brief

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Author

吳子青先生 (Andrew Ng)
經理

畢業於香港理工大學金融服務系,2008年完成財經分析師(CFA)考試,喜歡綜合基本因素與技術分析研究股票,並對衍生工具及IPO市場有獨到見解,現主力負責公司的高端客戶,提供度身訂造的投資服務
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後市預測

Monday, August 06, 2018 Views3781

上次筆者預計大市要調整到大約26800點, 現在看起來不幸言中了一大半, 至於後市去向, 筆者還是繼續看淡.

由二月初開始, 港股就進入了三萬點到三萬二千點的橫行區間, 歷時四個多月, 以筆者的角度看, 橫行區間可視為大戶的收貨或出貨指標, 當指數突破橫行區間, 就能指示後市方向, 而橫行的時間越久, 後市的升跌幅度也越大.

既然大市已向下突破橫行區, 則可理解為大戶已於橫行區出貨, 以底部三萬點作基準, 筆者認為再調整20%為合理水平, 即新目標為24000點, 預計年底前會到達.

注: 本人吳子青為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止, 本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益。


 

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