Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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技術走勢偏弱 等待消息突破

Monday, November 25, 2019 Views3781
中美貿易局勢仍是近期投資者關注的焦點,繼續左右大市行情.上周港股呈現倒V型走勢,恆指在上周一和周二連升兩天,並重越27000,最高見到27094.可惜未能企穩27000以上,周三和周四連跌兩天,最低見到26306,將周一和周二的升幅全速跌掉,周五略為回升,收報26595,相對前周上升了268點,升幅1%.國指上周五收報10506,按周上升0.8%.
 
A股方面,上證綜指繼續在2900水平穿梭,上周五收報2885,相對前周輕微下跌了6點.人民銀行繼今月初將1年期中期借貸便利(MLF)利率下調5個基點後,上周又先後將7天期逆回購利率,1年期及5年期以上LPR利率下調5個基點,雖然下調幅度不大,卻表明監管層關注"穩增長"的態度,對股市帶來支持.
 
美股也受到有關中美貿易局勢的消息左右,上周略為回軟,道指上周五收報27875,相對前周下跌了0.5%,結束了連續四周的升勢.納指和標準普爾500指數按周都下跌0.3%,分別結束了連續7周和連續6周的升勢.上周公布的經濟數據如供應管理協會製造業和非製造業指數,以及密歇根大學消費情緒指數都有所回升,顯示美國經濟表現良好,為股市帶來支持.
 
說回港股,恆指上周初的回升可視為先前由27900下跌至26204的一次技術性反彈.完成反彈後,50天線得而復失,9天相對強弱指數亦未升回50中軸以上,顯示投資者態度仍然虛怯,估計本周恆指將維持於26300和26800之間波動,等待消息上的突破.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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