Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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50天線料有阻力

Monday, October 11, 2021 Views3401
由於A股假期休市沒有北水,加上美股在上周初大幅回落,拖累恆指下破24000,在上周二最低見到23681,再創年內新低.之後逐步回升,周五最高見到25065,收報24838,相比前周上升了262點,升幅1%,是連續第二周上升.國指在上周二亦創出8359的年內新低,周五收報8776,按周上升0.6%,也是連續第二周上升.科指上周曾再度下破6000大關,最低見到5825,但並未跌穿8月低位5770,周五收報6207,按周上升1.7%,結束了連續三周的跌勢.
 
由於國慶節長假關係,A股上周只得一個交易日.上證綜指按周上升0.7%,滬深300和深證成指分別上升1.3%和0.7%.由於國內疫情對服務業的影響減弱,9月份財新中國通用服務業經營活動指數(服務業PMI)錄得53.4,較8月份回升6.7個百分點,重越50榮枯線,顯示服務業重回擴張態勢.此前公布的9月份財新中國製造業PMI亦止跌回升,較8月份0.8個百分點至50.
 
上周初油價和債息上揚,加上投資者關注美國債務上限危機,為美股帶來沽壓.其後,美國參議院兩黨達成協議,短期內將債務上限提高,紓緩了市場對美國可能出現債務違約的憂慮,令美股重拾升勢.道指,納指和標準普爾500指數按周分別上升1.2%,0.1%和0.8%.經濟數據方面,9月份非農職位僅增加19.4萬份,不到市場預期的一半,增幅創今年以來最低,分析認為是受新冠疫情及勞工短缺影響,加上失業率顯著下滑至4.8%,優於預期,所以並未對美股帶來影響.
 

說回港股,恆指觸底回升,重越10天和20天移動平均線,9天相對強弱指亦重越50中軸.如繼續反彈,50天線料有阻力,該線現時處於25480附近,回落支持則為24400.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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