Market Brief

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Author

黎健聰先生 (Keith Lai)
高級交易員

現任職輝立高級交易員,對投資股票、期貨、期權、商品、債券、基金交易經驗豐富。本人樂意為客戶提供投資分析及買賣策略。歡迎各位來電交流心得。
Phone:
36670668

俄鋁(486.HK) 即將戰後重新

Monday, August 1, 2022 Views6847

主要業務:

集團的主要業務為生產及銷售鋁(包括合金及增值產品,如鋁片、鋁錠、盤條、鑄造鋁合金、鋁坯及其他)
 
 

最新業績:

截至2021年12月31日止12個月全年業績,公司擁有人應佔溢利為 32.3億美元,同比增幅 324.9%。 每股基本盈利 0.2123美元。 不派末期股息。 期內,營業額上升 40.0% 至 119.9億美元,毛利率增加 14.0% 至 31.0%。 (公佈日期: 2022年03月30日)

 

業務展望:

目前的市場形勢很大程度上受到所實施的多項制裁的影響。於目前情況下,任何已經或先前作出的前景預測或展望情況均可能由於市場的持續發展而迅速變得不相關,因此,利益相關者於作出分析或決定時應合理審慎行事。
 

 

股價分析:

股價在2022年2月因俄羅斯對烏克蘭發動戰爭後,被西方烈強制裁,引致股價大幅下跌,雖然環球經濟復甦對鋁金屬需求上升,業績也見亮麗,但受制裁投資者紛紛拋售其股票造成股價不理性下跌,

現水平也極度超賣,而本人分析俄烏戰爭也進入到最後由美方出手後會得出一個停戰的局面,當回復和平後,投資者會重投資金到俄鋁股票上,屆時資金大量流入時,股價預計將會大幅上升,故建議買入。

 

現價: HKD 3.21

52週高/低: HKD 9.2 /HKD 3.1

市值: HKD 487.7億

市帳率:0.594倍

每股帳面價值: HK 5.404

(資料來源: 股運通)

 

 

股價SMA:

 

10天

20天

50天

100天

150天

200天

250天

$3.335

$3.472

$3.472

$3.788

$4.977

$5.654

$5.758

 

(資料來源: 股運通)

 

 

買入建議:

建議買入價:$3.2    止蝕價:$2.4

目標價:$3.9(短線) $5.75 (長線)

 

 

投資風險:

1)地緣政治局勢再度惡化,戰事擴大致烏克蘭以外國家加入
2)鋁價格或股市出現大幅下跌
3)鋁業務出現毛利下跌
4)公司成本大幅上升
 


註:本人黎健聰為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益。

 

 

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