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馮兆山先生(Michael Fung)
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現任職輝立經理,對投資股票、期權經驗豐富。本人樂意為客戶提供投資分析及買賣策略。歡迎各位來電交流心得。
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Buy rating for HANG SENG BANK

Thursday, January 5, 2017 Views8118
  • Business Summary

  • Hang Seng Bank (11.HK) is a Hong Kong-based banking coorperation, principally engaged in the provision of banking and financial services.

  • It operates through four segments. 1 = Retail Banking and Wealth Management segment is engaged in the provision of products and services related to personal banking; 2 = consumer lending and wealth management. Personal banking products and services include current and savings accounts, mortgages and personal loans, credit cards and insurance; 3 = Commercial Banking segment is engaged in the provision of products and services related to corporate lending, trade and receivable financing, payments and cash management, treasury and foreign exchange, insurance and investment, as well as corporate wealth management; 4 = Global Banking and Markets segment is engaged in the provision of financial solutions. Other Businesses segment is engaged in the management of shareholders’ funds and the investment in premises, properties and securities.

 

  • “Buy” rating with target price = $160.

  • Hang Seng Bank is best positioned among peers to benefit from Fed rate hikes, mainly attributed to its relatively high proportion of CASA deposits (estimated accounting for 77% of total deposits), and low exposure to RMB businesses.

  • Investors should take into account that, if there is any faster-than-expected rate hikes should lead to more upside earnings revisions.

  • Investors should also take into account that, Hang Seng Bank has nearly 80% of its loans concentrated in Hong Kong's local market – market analysts believe that, 11.HK is the highest among peers.

  • With low China asset exposures, in my opinion, Hang Seng Bank is the best pure local-play Hong Kong bank.

 

  • According to Thomson Reuters survey, there is ONE analyst rated “BUY”; TWO analysts rated “OUTPERFORM”; SIX analysts rated “HOLD”; FOUR analysts rated “UNDERPERFORM.”

  • We expect Hang Seng Bank (11.HK)'s ROE to reach 14% in 2018, from currernt level of 11.5% – which will be above peers.

  • We also expect 4 – 5% dividend yield.

  • We recommend to buy 11.HK, target price = $160; cut-loss price = $144.5 (current 50-day moving average).

 

 

I, Michael Fung, am a licensed person under the Securities and Futures Commission. Until the date this commentary was published, neither I and/or my affiliates are the beneficiary of the securities mentioned herein or are entitled to any financial interests in relation thereto.

 

本人馮兆山為證監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之證券的所有相關財務權益.

This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
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